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Red121
459829.6
332242.2
313039.1
Blue161
260752.8
437351.1
83450.7
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10916150100150200121161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3322
#42
42.20.8
41.442.2
Auto11.6
Teleop22.7
End8.7
blue by 10.6
52.81.1
50.251.3
Auto10.8
Teleop31.2
End9.6
Second
3130
#46
39.10.8
38.339.1
Auto9.5
Teleop23.6
End6.1
blue by 12.0
4373
#45
51.11.1
50.051.1
Auto17.1
Teleop26.2
End6.8
Third
4598
#75
29.60.8
28.729.6
Auto7.8
Teleop15.1
End6.8
blue by 21.1
834
#43
50.71.1
49.650.7
Auto14.7
Teleop27.1
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
67%Sustainability oddsMissed94%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
57%Activation oddsEarned95%Activation oddsEarned