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Red173
11867.9
32452.0
205683.3
Blue163
7058.7
744439.0
447655.3
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions219144100200250300173163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.32.0
87.985.9
Auto19.2
Teleop52.7
End8.1
red by 24.5
70
#19
58.71.2
57.558.7
Auto15.0
Teleop31.7
End10.5
Second
118
#2
67.92.0
70.668.6
Auto17.8
Teleop37.8
End10.0
red by 12.6
4476
#38
55.31.2
54.155.3
Auto14.4
Teleop30.4
End8.9
Third
324
#34
52.02.0
54.052.0
Auto9.9
Teleop32.4
End9.1
red by 13.0
7444
#55
39.01.2
37.739.0
Auto11.9
Teleop20.1
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
100%Sustainability oddsEarned65%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
99%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsEarned