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Red147
632859.9
345922.3
7853.8
Blue163
170035.8
402868.7
188425.3
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14212550100200250147163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6328
#57
59.91.0
56.957.9
Auto21.4
Teleop30.5
End5.9
blue by 8.8
4028
#17
68.72.9
64.367.2
Auto17.7
Teleop40.0
End9.8
Second
78
#22
53.81.0
53.554.5
Auto15.4
Teleop28.6
End9.9
red by 18.0
1700
#74
35.82.9
33.035.8
Auto7.6
Teleop23.3
End5.1
Third
3459
#70
22.31.0
21.322.3
Auto6.4
Teleop12.1
End4.3
blue by 3.0
1884
#63
25.32.9
22.425.3
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
66%Sustainability oddsEarned78%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned54%Activation oddsEarned