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Red179
220245.3
301561.2
156150.6
Blue161
721155.9
914817.8
246871.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17113750100150200250179161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3015
#48
61.21.5
61.162.6
Auto14.5
Teleop37.5
End8.7
blue by 10.3
71.61.2
66.067.3
Auto19.9
Teleop43.0
End8.1
Second
1561
#13
50.61.5
46.047.5
Auto11.1
Teleop31.2
End8.7
blue by 5.3
7211
#47
55.91.2
55.056.2
Auto16.5
Teleop30.3
End7.3
Third
2202
#25
45.31.5
48.049.5
Auto10.4
Teleop25.7
End9.7
red by 27.5
9148
#67
17.81.2
11.813.0
Auto4.9
Teleop10.6
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
90%Sustainability oddsEarned73%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
98%Activation oddsEarned87%Activation oddsEarned