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Red146
110255.9
7058.7
188425.3
Blue116
222038.1
210646.5
83450.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131130100110120140150160146116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#19
58.71.1
54.755.7
Auto15.0
Teleop31.7
End10.5
red by 8.0
834
#43
50.70.6
50.750.1
Auto14.7
Teleop27.1
End7.4
Second
55.91.1
48.149.2
Auto14.5
Teleop33.4
End6.7
red by 9.4
2106
#60
46.50.6
43.743.1
Auto11.7
Teleop25.8
End8.6
Third
1884
#63
25.31.1
17.318.4
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End5.0
blue by 12.8
2220
#73
38.10.6
30.630.0
Auto11.1
Teleop20.8
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
53%Sustainability oddsEarned70%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
76%Activation oddsEarned92%Activation oddsMissed