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Qual 312023 Archimedes Division
Red130
170035.8
205683.3
290518.4
Blue109
459829.6
54846.5
599323.3
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1489150200250130109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2056
#1
83.30.1
83.7→83.6
Auto19.2
Teleop52.7
End8.1
red by 36.8
548
#52
46.51.1
41.4→42.5
Auto10.3
Teleop27.9
End8.0
Second
1700
#74
35.80.1
31.6→31.5
Auto7.6
Teleop23.3
End5.1
red by 6.3
4598
#75
29.61.1
27.9→29.0
Auto7.8
Teleop15.1
End6.8
Third
2905
#51
18.40.1
16.2→16.1
Auto4.7
Teleop8.8
End5.4
blue by 4.9
5993
#76
23.31.2
23.0→24.2
Auto7.9
Teleop12.2
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
78%Sustainability oddsEarned21%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
69%Activation oddsEarned35%Activation oddsMissed