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Red174
918023.7
366356.9
603673.6
Blue177
11170.8
157455.3
3361.3
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16218450100150200250174177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6036
#16
73.61.0
70.571.4
Auto16.5
Teleop46.3
End7.8
red by 2.9
111
#5
70.80.5
68.568.9
Auto18.7
Teleop41.9
End9.0
Second
3663
#33
56.91.0
58.959.9
Auto13.8
Teleop34.7
End8.2
blue by 4.4
33
#15
61.30.5
57.357.7
Auto15.4
Teleop35.8
End8.6
Third
9180
#64
23.71.0
25.326.2
Auto6.3
Teleop9.7
End8.0
blue by 31.7
1574
#27
55.30.5
50.651.1
Auto14.5
Teleop31.8
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
95%Sustainability oddsEarned94%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
92%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsEarned