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Red194
157772.4
402868.7
245732.7
Blue158
437351.1
910139.9
447655.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168151100200250194158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1577
#11
72.41.9
69.371.2
Auto13.0
Teleop46.3
End9.7
red by 17.1
4476
#38
55.30.6
52.052.6
Auto14.4
Teleop30.4
End8.9
Second
4028
#17
68.71.9
61.062.9
Auto17.7
Teleop40.0
End9.8
red by 17.6
4373
#45
51.10.6
53.253.8
Auto17.1
Teleop26.2
End6.8
Third
2457
#62
32.71.9
28.530.4
Auto8.9
Teleop15.4
End8.7
blue by 7.2
9101
#53
39.90.6
39.440.0
Auto9.9
Teleop22.9
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
94%Sustainability oddsEarned82%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
93%Activation oddsEarned96%Activation oddsEarned