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Red130
54846.5
68758.6
872931.6
Blue157
246871.6
325625.9
2749.9
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13015750100200250130157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
687
#10
58.60.3
51.952.2
Auto13.7
Teleop35.6
End8.3
blue by 13.0
71.60.2
67.367.4
Auto19.9
Teleop43.0
End8.1
Second
548
#52
46.50.3
42.542.8
Auto10.3
Teleop27.9
End8.0
blue by 3.5
27
#37
49.90.2
52.352.4
Auto11.1
Teleop28.6
End8.5
Third
8729
#50
31.60.3
31.131.4
Auto10.3
Teleop14.1
End7.7
red by 5.7
3256
#65
25.90.2
25.926.0
Auto8.1
Teleop13.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
46%Sustainability oddsMissed89%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
80%Activation oddsEarned79%Activation oddsEarned