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Red114
97263.2
459829.6
220245.3
Blue147
7853.8
815922.6
62463.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14414280100120160180200220114147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
972
#26
63.21.4
56.354.9
Auto14.6
Teleop38.1
End8.5
blue by 0.1
624
#6
63.30.6
59.259.8
Auto15.8
Teleop35.3
End10.4
Second
2202
#25
45.31.4
49.548.2
Auto10.4
Teleop25.7
End9.7
blue by 8.5
78
#22
53.80.6
55.055.6
Auto15.4
Teleop28.6
End9.9
Third
4598
#75
29.61.4
29.027.6
Auto7.8
Teleop15.1
End6.8
red by 6.9
8159
#71
22.60.6
19.119.6
Auto6.9
Teleop10.8
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
84%Sustainability oddsMissed68%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
83%Activation oddsEarned91%Activation oddsEarned