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Red143
170035.8
808556.5
260752.8
Blue156
744439.0
157772.4
314244.0
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13616350100150200250143156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56.50.8
51.552.3
Auto11.6
Teleop34.8
End8.4
blue by 15.9
1577
#11
72.40.4
71.271.6
Auto13.0
Teleop46.3
End9.7
Second
52.80.8
48.249.0
Auto10.8
Teleop31.2
End9.6
red by 8.8
3142
#32
44.00.4
41.341.7
Auto12.5
Teleop24.4
End7.7
Third
1700
#74
35.80.8
31.532.4
Auto7.6
Teleop23.3
End5.1
blue by 3.1
7444
#55
39.00.4
38.639.0
Auto11.9
Teleop20.1
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
73%Sustainability oddsEarned88%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsEarned93%Activation oddsEarned