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Red138
210646.5
11170.8
580929.8
Blue158
118951.8
313039.1
301561.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions150156050100200250300350400138158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#5
70.80.2
68.968.7
Auto18.7
Teleop41.9
End9.0
red by 9.5
3015
#48
61.20.8
62.663.4
Auto14.5
Teleop37.5
End8.7
Second
2106
#60
46.50.2
43.142.8
Auto11.7
Teleop25.8
End8.6
blue by 5.3
1189
#39
51.80.8
49.750.5
Auto15.0
Teleop27.9
End7.8
Third
5809
#68
29.80.2
32.131.9
Auto5.9
Teleop17.9
End6.2
blue by 9.3
3130
#46
39.10.8
34.335.1
Auto9.5
Teleop23.6
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
89%Sustainability oddsEarned89%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
89%Activation oddsMissed96%Activation oddsEarned