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Red153
906732.8
7058.7
54846.5
Blue168
157455.3
86250.2
756341.8
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13515350100200250153168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
70
#19
58.71.3
55.156.3
Auto15.0
Teleop31.7
End10.5
red by 3.4
1574
#27
55.31.8
51.653.4
Auto14.5
Teleop31.8
End7.9
Second
548
#52
46.51.3
42.844.1
Auto10.3
Teleop27.9
End8.0
blue by 3.8
862
#30
50.21.8
52.454.2
Auto11.3
Teleop28.1
End9.8
Third
9067
#61
32.81.3
31.132.3
Auto11.7
Teleop14.7
End6.7
blue by 9.0
7563
#40
41.81.8
40.842.6
Auto10.3
Teleop22.6
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
45%Sustainability oddsEarned76%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned94%Activation oddsEarned