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Red105
188425.3
914817.8
176863.2
Blue165
268761.2
872931.6
402868.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8717750100150200250105165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1768
#28
63.20.8
60.661.4
Auto14.6
Teleop38.4
End8.4
blue by 5.5
4028
#17
68.70.7
62.363.0
Auto17.7
Teleop40.0
End9.8
Second
1884
#63
25.30.8
18.419.2
Auto5.8
Teleop15.0
End5.0
blue by 35.9
2687
#12
61.20.7
60.861.5
Auto13.9
Teleop39.2
End7.3
Third
9148
#67
17.80.8
13.714.5
Auto4.9
Teleop10.6
End2.9
blue by 13.8
8729
#50
31.60.7
31.432.1
Auto10.3
Teleop14.1
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
51%Sustainability oddsMissed91%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
52%Activation oddsMissed92%Activation oddsEarned