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Red153
301561.2
459829.6
314244.0
Blue105
148146.1
325625.9
332242.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14611550100200250153105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3015
#48
61.21.0
64.465.4
Auto14.5
Teleop37.5
End8.7
red by 15.1
1481
#49
46.10.5
46.746.2
Auto12.4
Teleop24.1
End8.5
Second
3142
#32
44.01.0
41.742.7
Auto12.5
Teleop24.4
End7.7
red by 1.8
3322
#42
42.20.5
38.738.3
Auto11.6
Teleop22.7
End8.7
Third
4598
#75
29.61.0
27.328.3
Auto7.8
Teleop15.1
End6.8
red by 3.7
3256
#65
25.90.5
26.626.1
Auto8.1
Teleop13.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
82%Sustainability oddsEarned31%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
86%Activation oddsMissed64%Activation oddsMissed