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Red167
603673.6
2749.9
258251.9
Blue168
157772.4
260752.8
563536.4
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions179159100150200250167168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6036
#16
73.60.2
71.871.6
Auto16.5
Teleop46.3
End7.8
red by 1.2
1577
#11
72.40.4
71.672.0
Auto13.0
Teleop46.3
End9.7
Second
2582
#29
51.90.2
51.551.3
Auto12.4
Teleop28.7
End9.5
blue by 1.0
52.80.4
48.348.7
Auto10.8
Teleop31.2
End9.6
Third
27
#37
49.90.2
52.552.2
Auto11.1
Teleop28.6
End8.5
red by 13.5
5635
#59
36.40.4
35.435.8
Auto12.0
Teleop16.8
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
99%Sustainability oddsEarned96%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
93%Activation oddsMissed91%Activation oddsEarned