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Red153
490358.5
161965.3
170035.8
Blue156
287537.7
12044.9
62463.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15313550100200250153156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#20
65.30.8
59.560.3
Auto16.8
Teleop37.3
End8.5
red by 2.0
624
#6
63.31.8
61.563.3
Auto15.8
Teleop35.3
End10.4
Second
4903
#14
58.50.8
56.156.8
Auto15.2
Teleop36.1
End6.4
red by 13.6
120
#41
44.91.8
37.339.1
Auto11.5
Teleop24.7
End9.0
Third
1700
#74
35.80.8
29.530.3
Auto7.6
Teleop23.3
End5.1
blue by 1.9
2875
#56
37.71.8
30.131.9
Auto8.7
Teleop22.4
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
79%Sustainability oddsEarned52%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
88%Activation oddsMissed86%Activation oddsEarned