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Red163
436261.3
580929.8
402868.7
Blue184
97263.2
433.9
68758.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153141050100200250163184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#17
68.71.4
62.864.2
Auto17.7
Teleop40.0
End9.8
red by 5.5
972
#26
63.23.4
54.758.1
Auto14.6
Teleop38.1
End8.5
Second
4362
#35
61.31.4
56.057.4
Auto15.4
Teleop36.7
End7.4
red by 2.6
687
#10
58.63.4
51.154.5
Auto13.7
Teleop35.6
End8.3
Third
5809
#68
29.81.4
25.126.5
Auto5.9
Teleop17.9
End6.2
blue by 4.2
4
#69
33.93.4
28.732.1
Auto9.1
Teleop18.1
End7.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
98%Sustainability oddsEarned72%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
66%Activation oddsEarned69%Activation oddsEarned