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Red209
268761.2
808556.5
205683.3
Blue129
156150.6
756341.8
284746.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21113750100150250300209129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.31.0
86.987.8
Auto19.2
Teleop52.7
End8.1
red by 32.7
1561
#13
50.60.6
50.850.2
Auto11.1
Teleop31.2
End8.7
Second
2687
#12
61.21.0
58.259.2
Auto13.9
Teleop39.2
End7.3
red by 14.9
2847
#31
46.40.6
45.845.2
Auto15.7
Teleop24.7
End5.9
Third
56.51.0
52.853.8
Auto11.6
Teleop34.8
End8.4
red by 14.7
7563
#40
41.80.6
41.641.0
Auto10.3
Teleop22.6
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
99%Sustainability oddsEarned45%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
98%Activation oddsEarned83%Activation oddsEarned