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Red185
603673.6
436261.3
721155.9
Blue126
872931.6
523253.0
7058.7
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194142100250185126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6036
#16
73.60.6
74.074.6
Auto16.5
Teleop46.3
End7.8
red by 14.9
70
#19
58.70.9
57.356.4
Auto15.0
Teleop31.7
End10.5
Second
4362
#35
61.30.6
57.458.0
Auto15.4
Teleop36.7
End7.4
red by 8.3
5232
#44
53.00.9
51.250.3
Auto8.1
Teleop34.0
End10.6
Third
7211
#47
55.90.6
56.557.2
Auto16.5
Teleop30.3
End7.3
red by 24.3
8729
#50
31.60.9
31.130.2
Auto10.3
Teleop14.1
End7.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
99%Sustainability oddsEarned56%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
94%Activation oddsEarned97%Activation oddsEarned