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Red200
62463.3
157772.4
176863.2
Blue200
97263.2
632859.9
68758.6
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions202176100150250200200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1577
#11
72.40.3
72.172.4
Auto13.0
Teleop46.3
End9.7
red by 9.2
972
#26
63.20.6
62.563.0
Auto14.6
Teleop38.1
End8.5
Second
624
#6
63.30.3
63.063.3
Auto15.8
Teleop35.3
End10.4
red by 3.3
6328
#57
59.90.6
59.359.8
Auto21.4
Teleop30.5
End5.9
Third
1768
#28
63.20.3
62.963.2
Auto14.6
Teleop38.4
End8.4
red by 4.6
687
#10
58.60.6
57.658.2
Auto13.7
Teleop35.6
End8.3