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Red166
156150.6
366356.9
11170.8
Blue190
176863.2
157772.4
62463.3
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions190200140160180220240260166190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
111
#5
70.80.5
71.671.1
Auto18.7
Teleop41.9
End9.0
blue by 1.6
1577
#11
72.40.1
72.172.1
Auto13.0
Teleop46.3
End9.7
Second
3663
#33
56.90.5
57.857.3
Auto13.8
Teleop34.7
End8.2
blue by 6.3
624
#6
63.30.1
63.063.0
Auto15.8
Teleop35.3
End10.4
Third
1561
#13
50.60.5
51.551.0
Auto11.1
Teleop31.2
End8.7
blue by 12.6
1768
#28
63.20.1
63.163.1
Auto14.6
Teleop38.4
End8.4