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Red203
603673.6
7853.8
11867.9
Blue185
268761.2
246871.6
301561.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions202200170180190210220230240203185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6036
#16
73.60.3
74.374.6
Auto16.5
Teleop46.3
End7.8
red by 2.0
71.60.1
72.071.9
Auto19.9
Teleop43.0
End8.1
Second
118
#2
67.90.3
68.668.9
Auto17.8
Teleop37.8
End10.0
red by 6.6
3015
#48
61.20.1
61.761.6
Auto14.5
Teleop37.5
End8.7
Third
78
#22
53.80.3
54.554.8
Auto15.4
Teleop28.6
End9.9
blue by 7.4
2687
#12
61.20.1
61.761.6
Auto13.9
Teleop39.2
End7.3