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Red200
3361.3
260752.8
402868.7
Blue163
97263.2
808556.5
632859.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions186173120140160200220240260200163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4028
#17
68.70.6
67.267.8
Auto17.7
Teleop40.0
End9.8
red by 5.5
972
#26
63.20.1
61.261.1
Auto14.6
Teleop38.1
End8.5
Second
33
#15
61.30.6
59.760.3
Auto15.4
Teleop35.8
End8.6
red by 1.3
6328
#57
59.90.1
57.957.8
Auto21.4
Teleop30.5
End5.9
Third
52.80.6
51.351.9
Auto10.8
Teleop31.2
End9.6
blue by 3.7
56.50.1
55.955.8
Auto11.6
Teleop34.8
End8.4