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Red164
2749.9
25475.8
205683.3
Blue182
11170.8
366356.9
156150.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions209187100150250300164182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
83.30.8
84.083.3
Auto19.2
Teleop52.7
End8.1
red by 12.5
111
#5
70.80.2
71.170.9
Auto18.7
Teleop41.9
End9.0
Second
254
#4
75.80.8
76.675.8
Auto18.3
Teleop45.8
End9.0
red by 18.9
3663
#33
56.90.2
57.357.0
Auto13.8
Teleop34.7
End8.2
Third
27
#37
49.90.8
50.749.9
Auto11.1
Teleop28.6
End8.5
blue by 0.7
1561
#13
50.60.2
51.050.7
Auto11.1
Teleop31.2
End8.7