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Red176
301561.2
246871.6
268761.2
Blue194
97263.2
808556.5
632859.9
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions204170100150250176194

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.60.3
71.971.6
Auto19.9
Teleop43.0
End8.1
red by 8.4
972
#26
63.20.6
61.161.7
Auto14.6
Teleop38.1
End8.5
Second
3015
#48
61.20.3
61.661.2
Auto14.5
Teleop37.5
End8.7
red by 1.3
6328
#57
59.90.6
57.858.5
Auto21.4
Teleop30.5
End5.9
Third
2687
#12
61.20.3
61.661.2
Auto13.9
Teleop39.2
End7.3
red by 4.7
56.50.6
55.856.4
Auto11.6
Teleop34.8
End8.4