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Red174
436261.3
161965.3
110255.9
Blue189
176863.2
157772.4
62463.3
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions183201120140160220240260280174189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#20
65.30.2
65.365.0
Auto16.8
Teleop37.3
End8.5
blue by 7.1
1577
#11
72.40.2
72.171.9
Auto13.0
Teleop46.3
End9.7
Second
4362
#35
61.30.2
61.361.0
Auto15.4
Teleop36.7
End7.4
blue by 2.0
624
#6
63.30.2
63.062.8
Auto15.8
Teleop35.3
End10.4
Third
55.90.2
55.955.7
Auto14.5
Teleop33.4
End6.7
blue by 7.3
1768
#28
63.20.2
63.162.9
Auto14.6
Teleop38.4
End8.4