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Red173
603673.6
7853.8
11867.9
Blue209
402868.7
260752.8
3361.3
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions205182120140160220240260280173209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6036
#16
73.60.4
74.674.2
Auto16.5
Teleop46.3
End7.8
red by 4.9
4028
#17
68.70.7
67.868.4
Auto17.7
Teleop40.0
End9.8
Second
118
#2
67.90.4
68.968.5
Auto17.8
Teleop37.8
End10.0
red by 6.6
33
#15
61.30.7
60.361.0
Auto15.4
Teleop35.8
End8.6
Third
78
#22
53.80.4
54.854.4
Auto15.4
Teleop28.6
End9.9
red by 1.0
52.80.7
51.952.5
Auto10.8
Teleop31.2
End9.6