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Red190
436261.3
161965.3
110255.9
Blue192
97263.2
808556.5
632859.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions186175100150200250190192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#20
65.30.2
65.065.3
Auto16.8
Teleop37.3
End8.5
red by 2.1
972
#26
63.20.5
61.762.2
Auto14.6
Teleop38.1
End8.5
Second
4362
#35
61.30.2
61.061.3
Auto15.4
Teleop36.7
End7.4
red by 1.3
6328
#57
59.90.5
58.559.0
Auto21.4
Teleop30.5
End5.9
Third
55.90.2
55.755.9
Auto14.5
Teleop33.4
End6.7
blue by 0.6
56.50.5
56.456.9
Auto11.6
Teleop34.8
End8.4