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Red211
603673.6
7853.8
11867.9
Blue183
366356.9
11170.8
156150.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions203187140160180220240260211183

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6036
#16
73.60.5
74.274.7
Auto16.5
Teleop46.3
End7.8
red by 2.9
111
#5
70.80.1
70.970.8
Auto18.7
Teleop41.9
End9.0
Second
118
#2
67.90.5
68.569.0
Auto17.8
Teleop37.8
End10.0
red by 10.9
3663
#33
56.90.1
57.056.9
Auto13.8
Teleop34.7
End8.2
Third
78
#22
53.80.5
54.454.9
Auto15.4
Teleop28.6
End9.9
red by 3.2
1561
#13
50.60.1
50.750.6
Auto11.1
Teleop31.2
End8.7