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Red188
62463.3
157772.4
157455.3
Blue204
402868.7
260752.8
3361.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions19318550100150250300350400188204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1577
#11
72.40.2
71.972.1
Auto13.0
Teleop46.3
End9.7
red by 3.7
4028
#17
68.70.6
68.469.1
Auto17.7
Teleop40.0
End9.8
Second
624
#6
63.30.2
62.863.0
Auto15.8
Teleop35.3
End10.4
red by 2.0
33
#15
61.30.6
61.061.6
Auto15.4
Teleop35.8
End8.6
Third
1574
#27
55.30.2
55.255.3
Auto14.5
Teleop31.8
End7.9
red by 2.5
52.80.6
52.553.2
Auto10.8
Teleop31.2
End9.6