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Qual 12023 Arkansas Regional
Red110
1643.3
328423.7
310226.7
Blue49
500620.9
393119.7
658617.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions975102040608012014016011049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#4
43.31.7
36.9→38.6
Auto14.4
Teleop21.4
End7.5
red by 22.4
5006
#28
20.90.6
18.8→18.2
Auto5.5
Teleop11.6
End3.7
Second
3102
#11
26.71.7
22.4→24.0
Auto11.4
Teleop9.1
End6.2
red by 7.0
3931
#17
19.70.6
20.5→19.9
Auto3.7
Teleop8.2
End7.9
Third
3284
#13
23.71.7
25.7→27.4
Auto3.9
Teleop12.5
End7.3
red by 6.2
6586
#27
17.50.6
14.7→14.1
Auto2.9
Teleop8.2
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
74%Activation oddsEarned32%Activation oddsMissed