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Qual 22023 Arkansas Regional
Red105
752531.8
193932.4
907317.6
Blue75
545427.9
239329.0
710618.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions63750204010012014016010575

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1939
#8
32.44.4
26.0→30.4
Auto6.8
Teleop20.8
End4.8
red by 3.5
2393
#16
29.00.1
26.2→26.4
Auto8.4
Teleop10.3
End10.2
Second
7525
#5
31.84.4
17.9→22.3
Auto9.5
Teleop12.7
End9.6
red by 3.9
5454
#12
27.90.1
25.5→25.6
Auto8.8
Teleop9.4
End9.7
Third
9073
#25
17.60.1
21.0→21.1
Auto4.8
Teleop4.8
End8.0
blue by 0.5
7106
#23
18.10.1
17.0→17.1
Auto5.1
Teleop7.5
End5.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
44%Activation oddsEarned49%Activation oddsEarned