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Qual 142023 Arkansas Regional
Red81
193932.4
199716.6
156121.0
Blue61
328423.7
310226.7
906725.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85692040601001201408161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1939
#8
32.40.3
30.4→30.7
Auto6.8
Teleop20.8
End4.8
red by 5.7
3102
#11
26.70.6
23.0→22.4
Auto11.4
Teleop9.1
End6.2
Second
1561
#10
21.00.3
20.9→21.2
Auto6.0
Teleop9.0
End6.0
blue by 4.8
9067
#15
25.80.6
17.5→16.8
Auto9.6
Teleop8.5
End7.7
Third
1997
#21
16.60.3
26.8→27.1
Auto3.0
Teleop5.6
End8.1
blue by 7.0
3284
#13
23.70.6
26.3→25.7
Auto3.9
Teleop12.5
End7.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
77%Activation oddsMissed56%Activation oddsEarned