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Qual 152023 Arkansas Regional
Red40
605517.9
495917.1
543715.5
Blue102
545427.9
433637.3
103827.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5986204010012014016040102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6055
#20
17.92.7
22.9→20.3
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End7.1
blue by 19.4
4336
#6
37.32.8
28.6→31.4
Auto11.5
Teleop17.2
End8.7
Second
4959
#18
17.12.7
19.9→17.3
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End6.1
blue by 10.9
5454
#12
27.92.8
22.7→25.5
Auto8.8
Teleop9.4
End9.7
Third
5437
#22
15.52.7
16.1→13.5
Auto5.8
Teleop5.4
End4.3
blue by 11.9
1038
#14
27.42.8
25.7→28.4
Auto6.2
Teleop13.9
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
50%Activation oddsMissed64%Activation oddsEarned