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Qual 162023 Arkansas Regional
Red69
710618.1
658617.5
752531.8
Blue123
426535.9
317925.2
1643.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5492020408010012014069123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7525
#5
31.81.0
26.9→27.8
Auto9.5
Teleop12.7
End9.6
blue by 11.5
16
#4
43.32.9
34.0→36.9
Auto14.4
Teleop21.4
End7.5
Second
7106
#23
18.11.0
14.7→15.7
Auto5.1
Teleop7.5
End5.5
blue by 17.9
4265
#7
35.92.9
25.6→28.5
Auto12.9
Teleop15.0
End8.1
Third
6586
#27
17.51.0
13.7→14.7
Auto2.9
Teleop8.2
End6.3
blue by 7.7
3179
#19
25.22.9
22.1→25.0
Auto8.0
Teleop11.4
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
58%Activation oddsEarned71%Activation oddsEarned