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Qual 232023 Arkansas Regional
Red63
103827.4
328423.7
658617.5
Blue95
495917.1
752531.8
193932.4
28%Model gave it72%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73884060801001201406395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1038
#14
27.40.8
28.4→27.6
Auto6.2
Teleop13.9
End7.4
blue by 5.0
1939
#8
32.40.5
35.6→36.1
Auto6.8
Teleop20.8
End4.8
Second
3284
#13
23.70.8
27.9→27.0
Auto3.9
Teleop12.5
End7.3
blue by 8.2
7525
#5
31.80.5
27.8→28.3
Auto9.5
Teleop12.7
End9.6
Third
6586
#27
17.50.8
14.1→13.3
Auto2.9
Teleop8.2
End6.3
red by 0.4
4959
#18
17.10.5
17.2→17.6
Auto3.3
Teleop7.7
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
66%Activation oddsMissed67%Activation oddsEarned