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Qual 242023 Arkansas Regional
Red83
303930.9
545427.9
310226.7
Blue82
500220.1
476640.6
239329.0
58%Model gave it42%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84792040601001201408382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3039
#9
30.90.0
31.5→31.5
Auto10.4
Teleop13.9
End6.6
blue by 9.7
4766
#3
40.60.3
30.4→30.6
Auto10.6
Teleop18.8
End11.3
Second
5454
#12
27.90.0
23.9→23.9
Auto8.8
Teleop9.4
End9.7
blue by 1.0
2393
#16
29.00.3
25.1→25.3
Auto8.4
Teleop10.3
End10.2
Third
3102
#11
26.70.0
22.9→22.9
Auto11.4
Teleop9.1
End6.2
red by 6.6
5002
#26
20.10.3
19.2→19.4
Auto3.6
Teleop9.8
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
78%Activation oddsMissed69%Activation oddsEarned