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Qual 252023 Arkansas Regional
Red108
906725.8
1643.3
543715.5
Blue105
317925.2
393748.9
500620.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76834060100120140108105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#4
43.31.0
37.0→38.0
Auto14.4
Teleop21.4
End7.5
blue by 5.5
3937
#2
48.91.2
38.2→39.4
Auto12.3
Teleop28.1
End8.5
Second
9067
#15
25.81.0
19.0→20.0
Auto9.6
Teleop8.5
End7.7
red by 0.6
3179
#19
25.21.2
22.6→23.8
Auto8.0
Teleop11.4
End5.8
Third
5437
#22
15.51.0
16.4→17.3
Auto5.8
Teleop5.4
End4.3
blue by 5.5
5006
#28
20.91.2
16.1→17.4
Auto5.5
Teleop11.6
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
7%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
59%Activation oddsEarned42%Activation oddsMissed