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Qual 262023 Arkansas Regional
Red60
907317.6
452249.8
199716.6
Blue40
393119.7
193932.4
328423.7
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97874060801201406040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4522
#1
49.83.3
42.9→39.6
Auto15.4
Teleop25.4
End9.1
red by 17.4
1939
#8
32.45.9
36.1→30.3
Auto6.8
Teleop20.8
End4.8
Second
9073
#25
17.63.3
22.5→19.2
Auto4.8
Teleop4.8
End8.0
blue by 6.0
3284
#13
23.75.9
27.0→21.2
Auto3.9
Teleop12.5
End7.3
Third
1997
#21
16.63.3
24.3→21.0
Auto3.0
Teleop5.6
End8.1
blue by 3.1
3931
#17
19.75.9
19.6→13.8
Auto3.7
Teleop8.2
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed3%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
79%Activation oddsEarned72%Activation oddsMissed