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Qual 472023 Arkansas Regional
Red115
328423.7
426535.9
393748.9
Blue110
303930.9
433637.3
452249.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1051306080120140160180115110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#2
48.90.7
47.2→47.9
Auto12.3
Teleop28.1
End8.5
blue by 1.0
4522
#1
49.81.2
47.6→46.4
Auto15.4
Teleop25.4
End9.1
Second
4265
#7
35.90.7
34.4→35.1
Auto12.9
Teleop15.0
End8.1
blue by 1.4
4336
#6
37.31.2
38.3→37.1
Auto11.5
Teleop17.2
End8.7
Third
3284
#13
23.70.7
20.3→21.0
Auto3.9
Teleop12.5
End7.3
blue by 7.3
3039
#9
30.91.2
32.7→31.5
Auto10.4
Teleop13.9
End6.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
84%Activation oddsEarned88%Activation oddsEarned