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Qual 482023 Arkansas Regional
Red64
605517.9
906725.8
710618.1
Blue131
393119.7
1643.3
476640.6
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6410420408012014016064131

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9067
#15
25.80.1
24.6→24.6
Auto9.6
Teleop8.5
End7.7
blue by 17.6
16
#4
43.33.0
40.8→43.8
Auto14.4
Teleop21.4
End7.5
Second
7106
#23
18.10.1
19.3→19.2
Auto5.1
Teleop7.5
End5.5
blue by 22.6
4766
#3
40.63.0
34.7→37.8
Auto10.6
Teleop18.8
End11.3
Third
6055
#20
17.90.1
20.9→20.8
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End7.1
blue by 1.8
3931
#17
19.73.0
16.6→19.6
Auto3.7
Teleop8.2
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
63%Activation oddsEarned90%Activation oddsEarned