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Qual 522023 Arkansas Regional
Red86
433637.3
393119.7
743017.0
Blue59
156121.0
500220.1
500620.9
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions816220401001201408659

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4336
#6
37.30.6
37.1→37.7
Auto11.5
Teleop17.2
End8.7
red by 16.4
1561
#10
21.00.2
21.9→21.7
Auto6.0
Teleop9.0
End6.0
Second
3931
#17
19.70.6
19.6→20.2
Auto3.7
Teleop8.2
End7.9
blue by 1.2
5006
#28
20.90.2
19.6→19.5
Auto5.5
Teleop11.6
End3.7
Third
7430
#24
17.00.6
17.1→17.7
Auto3.4
Teleop8.4
End5.1
blue by 3.1
5002
#26
20.10.2
19.4→19.3
Auto3.6
Teleop9.8
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
3%Sustainability oddsMissed5%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
65%Activation oddsEarned28%Activation oddsMissed