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Red81
193932.4
605517.9
239329.0
Blue123
199716.6
476640.6
393748.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88110608010012014016081123

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.41.2
34.733.6
Auto6.8
Teleop20.8
End4.8
blue by 16.4
48.91.8
47.949.7
Auto12.3
Teleop28.1
End8.5
Second
2393
#16
29.01.2
29.628.4
Auto8.4
Teleop10.3
End10.2
blue by 11.7
40.61.8
37.839.6
Auto10.6
Teleop18.8
End11.3
Third
6055
#20
17.91.2
20.819.7
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End7.1
red by 1.3
1997
#21
16.61.8
14.916.7
Auto3.0
Teleop5.6
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
6%Sustainability oddsMissed8%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned80%Activation oddsEarned