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Red90
393748.9
303930.9
193932.4
Blue46
317925.2
393119.7
545427.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions100742040601201401609046

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.90.0
30.930.9
Auto12.3
Teleop28.1
End8.5
red by 20.9
5454
#12
27.92.9
25.622.7
Auto8.8
Teleop9.4
End9.7
Second
32.40.0
30.430.4
Auto6.8
Teleop20.8
End4.8
red by 7.2
3179
#19
25.22.9
23.320.4
Auto8.0
Teleop11.4
End5.8
Third
30.90.0
28.828.8
Auto10.4
Teleop13.9
End6.6
red by 11.2
3931
#17
19.72.9
23.420.5
Auto3.7
Teleop8.2
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
75%Activation oddsEarned61%Activation oddsMissed