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Qual 72023 Arkansas Regional
Red102
103827.4
452249.8
500620.9
Blue62
658617.5
605517.9
1643.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7677406010012010262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4522
#1
49.83.3
34.2→37.5
Auto15.4
Teleop25.4
End9.1
red by 6.5
16
#4
43.31.1
31.1→30.0
Auto14.4
Teleop21.4
End7.5
Second
1038
#14
27.43.3
18.4→21.7
Auto6.2
Teleop13.9
End7.4
red by 9.5
6055
#20
17.91.1
24.0→22.9
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End7.1
Third
5006
#28
20.93.3
19.4→22.7
Auto5.5
Teleop11.6
End3.7
red by 3.4
6586
#27
17.51.1
16.7→15.6
Auto2.9
Teleop8.2
End6.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
4%Sustainability oddsMissed4%Sustainability oddsMissed
Activation
61%Activation oddsEarned55%Activation oddsMissed