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Red107
393748.9
605517.9
452249.8
Blue108
476640.6
1643.3
658617.5
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13510180120160180107108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.80.6
51.651.0
Auto15.4
Teleop25.4
End9.1
red by 6.5
16
#4
43.30.2
42.642.8
Auto14.4
Teleop21.4
End7.5
Second
48.90.6
50.650.1
Auto12.3
Teleop28.1
End8.5
red by 8.2
40.60.2
39.940.1
Auto10.6
Teleop18.8
End11.3
Third
6055
#20
17.90.6
19.719.2
Auto3.9
Teleop6.9
End7.1
red by 0.5
6586
#27
17.50.2
16.716.9
Auto2.9
Teleop8.2
End6.3