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Red77
500220.1
752531.8
433637.3
Blue97
239329.0
328423.7
906725.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9980601201407797

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.30.4
37.737.3
Auto11.5
Teleop17.2
End8.7
red by 8.4
2393
#16
29.00.2
28.628.8
Auto8.4
Teleop10.3
End10.2
Second
31.80.4
32.231.8
Auto9.5
Teleop12.7
End9.6
red by 6.1
9067
#15
25.80.2
25.425.6
Auto9.6
Teleop8.5
End7.7
Third
5002
#26
20.10.4
20.520.1
Auto3.6
Teleop9.8
End6.7
blue by 3.5
3284
#13
23.70.2
23.323.5
Auto3.9
Teleop12.5
End7.3