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Red70
303930.9
500620.9
545427.9
Blue54
199716.6
156121.0
393119.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89582040801001207054

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.3
30.830.5
Auto10.4
Teleop13.9
End6.6
red by 9.9
1561
#10
21.00.4
21.421.0
Auto6.0
Teleop9.0
End6.0
Second
5454
#12
27.90.3
27.927.5
Auto8.8
Teleop9.4
End9.7
red by 8.2
3931
#17
19.70.4
20.219.7
Auto3.7
Teleop8.2
End7.9
Third
5006
#28
20.90.3
20.820.5
Auto5.5
Teleop11.6
End3.7
red by 4.3
1997
#21
16.60.4
17.116.6
Auto3.0
Teleop5.6
End8.1