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Red67
598522.4
533120.2
652016.1
Blue124
461357.7
919121.8
758322.4
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions649120408010012014067124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5985
#18
22.42.4
24.622.2
Auto9.3
Teleop7.4
End5.7
blue by 35.3
57.72.8
47.750.5
Auto11.9
Teleop36.0
End9.7
Second
5331
#19
20.22.4
20.618.2
Auto7.4
Teleop7.7
End5.1
blue by 2.2
7583
#29
22.44.6
14.118.7
Auto5.7
Teleop9.7
End7.0
Third
6520
#37
16.12.4
18.616.2
Auto4.2
Teleop8.8
End3.1
blue by 5.7
9191
#12
21.84.6
20.525.1
Auto6.8
Teleop6.5
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Sustainability
5%Sustainability oddsMissed9%Sustainability oddsEarned
Activation
34%Activation oddsMissed72%Activation oddsEarned